Two months ago, I didn’t think JoAnne Kloppenburg had a chance in the Supreme Court race. But that race has become the focus of anti-Walker sentiment, opening up a door for her that no one could have imagined.
The anti-Walker vote will come out in force, but beyond the bigger races, such as for Supreme Court, it’s unsure how it will affect smaller communities, such as Monona.
Monona, has historically voted Democratic – at least in national and state wide races. Locally, it’s been a mixed bag. Local officials often downplayed political leanings, including outgoing mayor Robb Kahl.
If we assume that anti-Walker voters will come out in force in Monona, how will it affect our city council and mayoral races?
At face value, the beneficiaries of such votes would probably be the self-proclaimed blue democrats. In this case, Doug Wood and Chad Speight. Bob Miller would also fall in this camp. While Miller doesn’t stake the ground like Wood and Speight, his endorsements are of a similar vibe. These three could, theoretically, ride the anti-Walker coattails for extra votes. That’s the theory.
But is it correct?
To be honest, my first gut feeling is that, yes, this will happen. But as I consider the question, I’m not sure how much. In the end, I suspect it will have a small positive vote for the three candidates.
But I don’t think it will be a huge difference. The reason is that local politics is still – well, local. It is just as much about personalities and who you know as much as political ideology. I was talking with a hard-core liberal friend the other day who planned to vote for one of the none ‘blue’ council members. Why? She knew and trusted the man. That was it. In Monona, this goes a long way with people.
Also, the thing the voters in Monona are going to come out for the mayoral race – not to vote against Walker. In some ways, I think the get-out-to-vote for the mayoral race will be a bigger factor than the anti-Walker vote. If Bob Miller can score a big victory over Jeff Wiswell, Chad Speight might ride his coattails to a win (I don’t include Doug Wood, because I would fully expect Wood to win reelection no matter what the circumstances).
So, is the anti-Walker vote a non-issue for Monona? Not at all. We have to remember that the last few council races have landed four and five candidates within 100 votes each. If Chad Speight can defeat Veserat or Busse by 50 votes or less, he may need to send Scott Walker a thank you card. The same can be said for Bob Miller.
It will be fascinating to see the results tonight. All this is pure speculation. Fun, but in the end, just speculation.
Please let us know what you think about the subject.